A decidedly contrarian friend posed the question, about the protagonists of Michael Lewis’s Flash Boys, “if they were so concerned about the execution price, why didn’t they just use limit orders?”
He’s not alone. Matt Levine voices similar skepticism about IEX, whose purported raison d’être is to protect the little guy from predatory market makers, in “‘Flash Boys’ Exchange Isn’t About the Little Guy”:
I try not to give investing advice but I will say: If you are a retail day-trader, consider using limit orders! You can use marketable limit orders – like, bid up to $41 for that $40 stock if you want – to make sure that you’ll get an execution, but it’s a scary world out there, there are a lot of flash crashes, and you don’t want to put in a market order at the exact second that the stock spikes to $999.99.
I tend to agree with his commentary on IEX, but it did bring to mind a solution for an inconvenience with limit orders that we face here at Sixtant.
The problem is that limit orders are in some ways (paradoxically) less useful for controlling average execution price in thin books with liquidity dispersed across price levels than they are in, say, well-established equities markets.
This is especially true for cryptocururency order books, where liquidity problems are exacerbated by a lack of attention paid to tick sizes, since the available liquidity is often not concentrated at the touch. (Though it’s a fine line — the inverse is true for some markets where the tick size is much too large.)
This type of order book topography is inconvenient for us because we sometimes act as market makers in small and non-integrated markets, and hedge our positions by trading against other market makers in large, well-integrated markets where we need to control our execution price. We execute our taker order just as Levine suggests — with a marketable limit order — but still face risk when setting the limit price.
How should you set the price for that limit order if you know that you’re going to walk the book? Imagine that you’re looking at buying 900 units on the following order book:
It’s going to cost you $100 per unit for the first 300 units, $101 for the next
500, and $102 for the final 100 units of your order. That’s an average price
(100 x 300 + 101 x 500 + 102 x 100) / 900, or $100.7778 per unit.
But if you set that as your limit price, you’ll only execute the first 300, rather than the whole 900. To execute the whole 900, you have two options: either you
Option (2) is really more of an option in the theoretical sense — I’d bet that when the first two levels are picked off in quick succession, the probability of the rest of the market pulling back outweighs your risk of the average execution price changing in option (1). Plus cryptocurrency exchanges are not exactly “fast”; each limit order fill could take on the order of 100ms.
Option (1) is still obviously better than a market order; you replace infinite risk of market impact with a known, finite worst case. Still, you never know, maybe the sell order for 500 @ $101 is cancelled right as you submit your order, and you end up executing at $101.334.
So, exchanges, why not offer a limit order variation whose limit is not a “worst execution price limit” but a “worst average execution price limit”?
It’s a small change, and even plays nicely with existing FOK, IOC, and AON order types, in addition to the vanilla GTC limit order, though it does imply some extra CPU cycles in the matching engine spent checking the average order price as it walks the book.